The World Economy in 2004


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Please note:

This case study was compiled from published sources, and is intended to be used as a basis for class discussion. It is not intended to illustrate either effective or ineffective handling of a management situation. Nor is it a primary information source.

Case Details:

Price:

Case Code : ECOA121 For delivery in electronic format: Rs. 300;
For delivery through courier (within India): Rs. 300 + Rs. 25 for Shipping & Handling Charges

Themes

-
Case Length : 20 Pages
Period : 2004
Organization : -
Pub Date : 2004
Teaching Note : Not Available
Countries : Global
Industry : -

Abstract:

The International Monetary Fund (IMF), in its annual meetings in Dubai on 23-24 September, 2003, predicted that world economic growth would increase from 3.8% in 2002 and 3.2% in 2003 to 4.1% in 2004. Strong demand in the USA, rapid growth in China, increasing business confidence in Europe and signs of recovery in Japan have led to this optimistic prediction. But even as the outlook for the global economy has improved, some structural issues need to be addressed. Excessive reliance on America is one of the biggest problems facing the global economy. Since 1995, almost 60% of the cumulative growth in world output has come from America. If American demand drops significantly, the world may tumble into recession.

At the same time, many economists believe that the scope for sustaining American demand is limited. Americans are spending far beyond their means, with their budget and trade deficit seemingly out of control. Meanwhile, Europe is having problems of its own. The big economies like Germany, France and Italy are yet to come to grips with structural problems like unemployment and pension reforms. Despite the resurgence of the euro, the long-term outlook for Europe does not present a completely rosy picture. Germany, Europe's economic engine is going through a major economic crisis. And Japan, the second largest economy in the world, despite the signs of a slow recovery, has not shown the political will to go ahead with serious economic reform. The case discusses the prospects for the world economy in early 2004.

Contents:

  Page No.
Introduction 1
USA 1
Japan 4
Germany 6
France 6
Asia 7
Global Trade 8
Exhibits 10

Keywords:

The world economy, USA economy, Dubai, International Monetary Fund (IMF), Growth rate of 4.1%, US Bureau of Economic Analysis, Federal Reserve, Japan economy, Great Depression, Budget deficit, German economy, Europan Union economy, France economy, Asian, Central banks, global trade

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